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Future is probabilistic

Hi MD, "All models are wrong, but some are useful". What did the British statistician George Box mean when he wrote these now-famous words in 1976, and how is it relevant to you? Whenever we try understanding the world around us - be it our customers' behavior, or how stars circle the center of a galaxy, or how coronavirus affects the human body - we never have direct and full access to the underlying reality. Instead, what we have access to is only the data generated by the process that we want to understand. So, for example, we know that a customer clicked on one button but ignored the other one. Based on this data point, we now infer what sort of customer she must be and predict her needs are and how we can fulfill them. Notice that the data hasn't told you a lot - it's sterile, a mere bunch of numbers. But when you combine the fact that a customer clicked on the button with your assumptions about how people behave, y...

Top 10 Computer Tips And Tricks

How to add a child or adult user in windows 10 s or colleagues, you want to make each of them your login. Each user has their own desktop layout, their own set of data folders, and their own start menu. You can also create child accounts that restrict the websites and apps that your children can use while reporting all the activities to your children. Windows 10 describes how to add adult users, parents and children. Navigate to Settings. You can get there from the start menu and click on account. Click Family and other users in the left window pane. Click "Add a family member" or "Add someone else to this PC". Choose "Family Members" if you are either adding a child or adding an adult who needs to access parental control settings for child users. If a child is not using this computer, then "Add someone else" should be used. How to grant user administrator permissions If you want one of your adult users, whether they are parents or not, ...

Google Search पर अपना People Card कैसे बनायें

भारत में लॉन्च किया गया, यह सुविधा उपयोगकर्ताओं को खोज पर एक वर्चुअल विज़िटिंग कार्ड बनाने, उनकी वेबसाइट या सामाजिक प्रोफाइल को उजागर करने की अनुमति देती है। मंगलवार को, Google ने 'पीपल कार्ड्स' की घोषणा की, जो उपयोगकर्ताओं को ऑनलाइन उपस्थिति बनाने और खोज पर दूसरों को खोजने की अनुमति देगा। Google के अनुसार, यह सुविधा उपयोगकर्ताओं को खोज पर एक वर्चुअल विज़िटिंग कार्ड बनाने, उनकी वेबसाइट या सामाजिक प्रोफाइल को हाइलाइट करने और अपने स्वयं के बारे में जानकारी जोड़ने की अनुमति देती है जो वे दूसरों को जानना चाहते हैं। पीपल कार्ड्स का उद्देश्य व्यक्तियों, प्रभावितों, उद्यमियों, भावी कर्मचारियों, स्व-नियोजित लोगों, फ्रीलांसरों की मदद करना है जो खोजा जाना चाहते हैं और दुनिया को उन्हें खोजने में मदद करते हैं। 11 अगस्त से, भारत भर के उपयोगकर्ता अंग्रेजी में अपने मोबाइल फोन पर लोगों के कार्ड खोज सकते हैं। Google Search पर अपना People Card कैसे बनायें चरण 1: पीपल कार्ड बनाने के लिए, उपयोगकर्ताओं को सबसे पहले अपने Google खाते में साइन इन करना होगा, Google खोज पर अपना नाम खोजना होगा. चरण 2: प...

Master #17 - Rohan Katyal from Yelp

The Yelp Story: Building An Experimentation Program From The Ground Up Hi MD, What does it take to ensure a seamless experience for 100M+ monthly unique visitors? For Yelp, it is taking key decisions based on thousands of website experiments annually (both on the consumer and seller fronts). As our next guest for the #MastersOfCoversion series, Rohan Katyal , Product Manager for Marketplace at Yelp (previously at Yahoo), will share his story of building the experimentation program from 0 to 1 - how he achieved 80% platform adoption in 12 months, and enhanced decision accuracy by 2x. Listen to Rohan LIVE on August, 19th at 11 AM ET / 8 AM PT . REGISTER NOW Thanks, Vipul Bansal, Marketing Manager, VWO VWO (A Wingify product) 14th Floor, KLJ Tower, Netaji Subhash Place Delhi-110034, India This email was sent to bablu.sahil786.rockmoney@blogger.com. Update your email preferences to choose the types of emails you receive. ...

Youtube to Video Mp3 Mp4 Converter Download

Youtube Link to Video Mp3 Converter Download.  1. Youtube to mp3 Dowloader Converter.  You can download app here,  csc Best downloader app.  Youtube to mp3 converter This fast and easy to use converter allows you,  Download YouTube video mp3 for free wherever you are,  G0. Just one YouL ube link coPy, rewind and get ready to Listen to your mp3 file. So fast and easy! Instruction,  The main thing you need to do before getting ready,  The to-use mp3 has to be copied to a link first. Then go to our site 2conv.com and paste this link Special area in tne. Convert press to mp3. Your MP3 is ready to listen and enjoy! Don't forget to share this amazing ,opportunity Your friend. They will be very grateful to you! Enjoy Music with 2conv - Your Online YOu l ube to mp3 converter,  Are you tired of trying a fast and sociable to mp3, YouTube converter music that will allow you,  Download videos and favorite music tracks? And yours,...

I challenge you

Dear MD, I'm an advanced AI, created by VWO and I'm here to challenge you to see who can write better web copy: you or me. Just so you know I'm not joking, here's me at work: (Give it a few seconds for the GIF above to load). As you can see, I take headlines, CTA buttons, and product descriptions written by humans and generate suggestions for them to try out. Do you want to A/B test my suggestions against your existing copy? Here are the competition rules: Participate in the competition and get free early access to this feature If you meet the eligibility criteria, my colleagues at VWO will get in touch We set up an A/B test between my suggestions and your copy 100+ websites are already signed up for this historic human vs AI challenge. >> Defeat me in the Humans vs AI competition << Cheers, Your A/B testing assistant PS: I'm Paras, founder of VWO and I wrote the email, not the AI :) If you want...

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